League reference

Base rates from finished matches, by competition and season. These are descriptions of what happened, not predictions and not picks. No model is involved. They exist so you can check any claim made elsewhere on this site against the background rate.

Competitions

Seasons

2022–2026

Finished matches

11,764

Minimum sample

cells below this are suppressed

Results, goals and match events

One card per competition, showing its latest completed season. Tap a card to see the same six measures across its last four completed seasons, ranked against each other. Percentages show to one decimal place with their sample size where suppression applies; a percentage over a handful of matches is noise, not information. Corner and card averages carry their own sample, which is smaller than the match count where a competition lacks that data.

Bundesliga

2025/26 · 306 matches

Home win 43.8%

Draw 24.5%

BTTS 61.8%

Over 2.5 63.7%

Corners 9.75

Cards 3.98

Tap to see 2022/23–2024/25

Each row compares the same measure across Bundesliga's last 4 completed seasons. The number is always shown; colour is a support, not the only signal.

Highest of the 4 2nd 3rd Lowest

	2025/26	2024/25	2023/24	2022/23
Home win	43.8%	38.6%	43.8%	47.4%
Draw	24.5%	25.2%	26.5%	24.5%
BTTS	61.8%	56.9%	61.8%	59.2%
Over 2.5	63.7%	59.8%	62.4%	60.5%
Corners	9.75	9.64	9.89	9.71
Cards	3.98	4.04	4.32	4.28

Championship

2025/26 · 557 matches

Home win 41.7%

Draw 26.6%

BTTS 56.6%

Over 2.5 50.4%

Corners 10.35

Cards 3.81

Tap to see 2022/23–2024/25

Each row compares the same measure across Championship's last 4 completed seasons. The number is always shown; colour is a support, not the only signal.

Highest of the 4 2nd 3rd Lowest

	2025/26	2024/25	2023/24	2022/23
Home win	41.7%	45.8%	44.6%	41.1%
Draw	26.6%	28.3%	23.4%	27.0%
BTTS	56.6%	50.2%	52.4%	48.4%
Over 2.5	50.4%	44.4%	52.2%	44.0%
Corners	10.35	10.19	10.65	10.01
Cards	3.81	3.82	4.05	3.91

2026/27 so far · 1 match played

Insufficient sample below the site's 20-match minimum. This fills in on its own as the season is played, no separate step needed.

Eredivisie

2025/26 · 306 matches

Home win 44.4%

Draw 26.1%

BTTS 62.7%

Over 2.5 61.8%

Corners 10.45

Cards 3.40

Tap to see 2022/23–2024/25

Each row compares the same measure across Eredivisie's last 4 completed seasons. The number is always shown; colour is a support, not the only signal.

Highest of the 4 2nd 3rd Lowest

	2025/26	2024/25	2023/24	2022/23
Home win	44.4%	45.4%	43.1%	44.8%
Draw	26.1%	25.2%	24.8%	23.9%
BTTS	62.7%	55.6%	56.5%	52.6%
Over 2.5	61.8%	55.2%	63.7%	59.5%
Corners	10.45	9.93	10.55	10.62
Cards	3.40	3.09	3.13	3.01

2026/27 so far · 10 matches played

Insufficient sample below the site's 20-match minimum. This fills in on its own as the season is played, no separate step needed.

La Liga

2025/26 · 380 matches

Home win 48.9%

Draw 24.5%

BTTS 56.6%

Over 2.5 50.0%

Corners 9.67

Cards 4.68

Tap to see 2022/23–2024/25

Each row compares the same measure across La Liga's last 4 completed seasons. The number is always shown; colour is a support, not the only signal.

Highest of the 4 2nd 3rd Lowest

	2025/26	2024/25	2023/24	2022/23
Home win	48.9%	44.5%	43.9%	47.9%
Draw	24.5%	25.5%	28.2%	23.4%
BTTS	56.6%	54.2%	49.5%	50.3%
Over 2.5	50.0%	48.7%	46.1%	47.6%
Corners	9.67	9.52	9.37	9.53
Cards	4.68	4.69	5.00	5.37

Ligue 1

2025/26 · 306 matches

Home win 46.1%

Draw 24.5%

BTTS 50.7%

Over 2.5 52.6%

Corners 9.59

Cards 3.99

Tap to see 2022/23–2024/25

Each row compares the same measure across Ligue 1's last 4 completed seasons. The number is always shown; colour is a support, not the only signal.

Highest of the 4 2nd 3rd Lowest

	2025/26	2024/25	2023/24	2022/23
Home win	46.1%	46.7%	39.2%	42.9%
Draw	24.5%	20.3%	26.5%	24.2%
BTTS	50.7%	56.9%	53.9%	58.2%
Over 2.5	52.6%	55.6%	52.9%	56.3%
Corners	9.59	9.36	9.39	9.25
Cards	3.99	3.96	4.12	3.65

Premier League

2025/26 · 380 matches

Home win 42.6%

Draw 27.4%

BTTS 56.1%

Over 2.5 55.0%

Corners 10.00

Cards 3.84

Tap to see 2022/23–2024/25

Each row compares the same measure across Premier League's last 4 completed seasons. The number is always shown; colour is a support, not the only signal.

Highest of the 4 2nd 3rd Lowest

	2025/26	2024/25	2023/24	2022/23
Home win	42.6%	40.8%	46.1%	48.4%
Draw	27.4%	24.5%	21.6%	22.9%
BTTS	56.1%	57.4%	61.6%	51.6%
Over 2.5	55.0%	56.6%	64.7%	52.6%
Corners	10.00	10.30	10.84	10.11
Cards	3.84	4.19	4.32	3.66

Primeira Liga

2025/26 · 306 matches

Home win 41.2%

Draw 27.1%

BTTS 48.0%

Over 2.5 53.9%

Corners 9.43

Cards 5.21

Tap to see 2022/23–2024/25

Each row compares the same measure across Primeira Liga's last 4 completed seasons. The number is always shown; colour is a support, not the only signal.

Highest of the 4 2nd 3rd Lowest

	2025/26	2024/25	2023/24	2022/23
Home win	41.2%	43.1%	43.5%	49.0%
Draw	27.1%	25.8%	24.5%	18.0%
BTTS	48.0%	48.7%	53.6%	43.1%
Over 2.5	53.9%	49.0%	55.2%	47.7%
Corners	9.43	9.52	10.18	10.62
Cards	5.21	5.16	5.31	5.98

2026/27 so far · 10 matches played

Insufficient sample below the site's 20-match minimum. This fills in on its own as the season is played, no separate step needed.

Serie A

2025/26 · 380 matches

Home win 38.9%

Draw 26.1%

BTTS 45.3%

Over 2.5 45.8%

Corners 8.82

Cards 3.88

Tap to see 2022/23–2024/25

Each row compares the same measure across Serie A's last 4 completed seasons. The number is always shown; colour is a support, not the only signal.

Highest of the 4 2nd 3rd Lowest

	2025/26	2024/25	2023/24	2022/23
Home win	38.9%	39.7%	41.8%	42.4%
Draw	26.1%	28.4%	29.5%	26.3%
BTTS	45.3%	51.6%	52.4%	50.3%
Over 2.5	45.8%	48.2%	49.2%	45.5%
Corners	8.82	9.31	9.63	9.40
Cards	3.88	4.02	4.49	4.69

Home and Draw are shares of the same match count; a competition's away-win share is the remainder, and is not repeated here. Corners and cards are means per match, and are absent for competitions or seasons this site holds no such data for.

Goals by half

Competition	Season	First half	Second half	Match
Bundesliga	2022/23	1.49	1.69	3.17
Bundesliga	2023/24	1.51	1.71	3.22
Bundesliga	2024/25	1.47	1.67	3.13
Bundesliga	2025/26	1.44	1.79	3.24
Championship	2022/23	1.10	1.33	2.43
Championship	2023/24	1.24	1.45	2.68
Championship	2024/25	1.09	1.36	2.45
Championship	2025/26	1.20	1.39	2.59
Championship	2026/27	2.00	2.00	4.00
Eredivisie	2022/23	1.36	1.69	3.06
Eredivisie	2023/24	1.31	1.93	3.24
Eredivisie	2024/25	1.33	1.66	2.99
Eredivisie	2025/26	1.44	1.73	3.18
Eredivisie	2026/27	1.10	1.80	2.90
La Liga	2022/23	1.12	1.39	2.51
La Liga	2023/24	1.20	1.45	2.64
La Liga	2024/25	1.15	1.47	2.62
La Liga	2025/26	1.15	1.54	2.69
Ligue 1	2022/23	1.31	1.50	2.81
Ligue 1	2023/24	1.21	1.49	2.70
Ligue 1	2024/25	1.31	1.67	2.98
Ligue 1	2025/26	1.22	1.61	2.82
Premier League	2022/23	1.32	1.53	2.85
Premier League	2023/24	1.36	1.92	3.28
Premier League	2024/25	1.36	1.57	2.93
Premier League	2025/26	1.19	1.56	2.75
Primeira Liga	2022/23	1.10	1.39	2.49
Primeira Liga	2023/24	1.24	1.63	2.87
Primeira Liga	2024/25	1.16	1.41	2.57
Primeira Liga	2025/26	1.20	1.48	2.68
Primeira Liga	2026/27	1.30	1.50	2.80
Serie A	2022/23	1.16	1.41	2.56
Serie A	2023/24	1.13	1.48	2.61
Serie A	2024/25	1.12	1.44	2.56
Serie A	2025/26	1.04	1.38	2.43

How these numbers were produced

Source: Finished fixtures held in this project's own database, 11,764 matches across 8 competitions, seasons 2022–2026. No third-party statistics feed is involved in these figures.
A match counts when: ft_home_goals and ft_away_goals both non-null (settled)
Half-time leader: team ahead on ht_*_goals; fixtures level at half-time reported as their own category, not assigned to either side
Second-half goals: full-time minus half-time per team; fixture excluded if either ft_*_goals or ht_*_goals is null
Suppression: Any cell with a sample below 20 is shown as "insufficient sample" instead of a rate. 336 cells are suppressed in this build.
Known exclusions: 3 fixture(s) are excluded from the half-time figures because half-time goals are missing for them. They are listed in the manifest.
When these figures were counted: 2026-08-15 08:51:34 UTC. They are recounted from scratch each time, so a result that lands today moves them tomorrow rather than at the end of the season. The version of the code that counted them is f62dd09610.

The full manifest (every parameter, a per-column census of missing data, and the complete list of suppressed cells) is published as manifest.json. Nothing on these pages is derived from data not linked here.